Thought#5 - Dead Cat Bounce

A dead cat bounce refers to the phenomenon of financial markets when we see a temporary recovery in a stock (or a crypto currency) price or see a temporary market rally after a significant downward trend.

For example, let's assume the market has been falling over the last ten weeks but there is a broad market rally in week 11. The rally is considered a dead cat bounce if it's short-lived and the market continues to fall again in week 12.

So does only the dead cat bounce, not dead dog or alive cat?!

The Most Extreme - Killers

Please Vote for Me In CalChess Board of Directors General Election

It's time for this year's CalChess State Open Championship. It's being organized by Berkeley Chess School during September 1-3 at Crowne Plaza Silicon Valley N- Union City, 32083 Alvarado-Niles Rd, Union City, CA 94587, USA. To register for the tournament or know more details please check http://www.berkeleychessschool.org/event/bcs-summer-quad/ .

This year I will be running for the general election of CalChess Board of Directors which will be held in the 2nd day of the tournament in the same place. The board is comprised of 8 members each serving for 2 years. Every year 4 of the 8 positions are open for re-election. So this year's 4 positions will be contested by the following candidates.

• Kiki Chen
• George Jeffers
• Tom Langland (incumbent)
• Joe Lonsdale (incumbent)
• Stephen Shaughnessy (incumbent)
• Dr. Judit Sztaray (incumbent)
• Ashik Uzzaman (me)
• Hui Wang

If you are a CalChess member for at least last 1 month and are 14 years or older, you are eligible to vote in person. If you find your name in the following list, please come to vote -  http://calchess.org/membership_list/membership_list.txt . You can vote 1 to 4 candidates. But if you vote 5 or more candidates, your ballot will be declared invalid. I hope you will give me a chance to serve you as a board member by voting me as 1 of your 4 choices.

Let me tell you why. I have been playing chess since my childhood and am a USCF Candidate Master. I am also a chess parent and my son Ahyan Zaman is the current  G/30 National Champion in Under 1600 rating class. I have been involved in various local chess tournaments not only as a player but also as a TD and promoter occasionally. Chess runs in my family and I understand the dreams and pains of chess players as well as chess parents. I am also advisor of ACPB (Association of Chess Players of Bangladesh). Outside of chess, I have served as President of BABA (Bay Area Association of Bangladesh) and am advisor of several startups. 

I see a big potential for Chess In General in USA and Northern California in particular. With the upcoming Caruana - Carlsen World Championship fight this November, and outstanding performances of GM Sam Shankland from our area, we are in a fortunate time for chess. If elected, I will work on promoting CalChess as a brand and approach the corporate sponsors of different software companies in Sillicon Valley. Being a software engineer, I worked with Mechanics Chess Institute to arrange two inter-software-company team tournaments in San Francisco couple of years back. I will do my best to showcase CalChess as a viable option for the companies who usually have large marketing budget. For this to happen, we need to also step up on the social presence of CalChess which I will work on with CalChess board. In short, I offer - 

• Attracting Corporate Sposnsorship Into Chess
• Improve CalChess Social Web Presence
• Write chess articles on behalf of CalChess
• Chess Event Coverage
• Promoting both Scholastic and Adult Chess

Ashik Leading Salesforce Chess Club at US Amateur Team Championship

2018 CalChess Annual Meeting and General Elections

Date: Sept. 2, 2018 (Sunday)

Location: Crowne Plaza Silicon Valley

     32083 Alvarado-Niles Rd

     Union City, CA 94587

Agenda: 9:00am - approx. 3:45pm

     Balloting will be open to eligible CalChess members. See Lynn Reed or Ruth Haring onsite to vote. You must pick up and cast a ballot IN PERSON, No exceptions!

     3:30 - 3:45pm - Candidate Statements (Bay Room)

     3:45 -4:00pm - Counting of ballots (Bay Room)

     4:00pm - 5:00pm - Standard business. (Bay Room)

CalChess Bylaws - http://www.calchess.org/governance/calchess_bylaws.pdf

Candidates' Statements - http://www.calchess.org/pdfs/CalChessBoardofDirectorElectionsCandidates%20statements.pdf

or http://archive.aweber.com/awlist5101443/5eB0B/h/CalChess_Board_of_Director.htm

jeff bezos 1997 letter read by ashik

Thought#4 - Butterfly Effect

The butterfly effect is the idea that small things can have non-linear impacts on a complex system. The concept is imagined with a butterfly flapping its wings in China and causing a typhoon in Texas. Of course, a single act like the butterfly flapping its wings cannot cause a typhoon. Small events can, however, serve as catalysts that act on starting conditions. 

So we start going looking for butterflies before they can flap wings? :D

Thought#3 - Prisonner's Dillema

The Prisoner's Dilemma is a paradox in decision analysis in which two individuals acting in their own self-interest pursue a course of action that does not result in the ideal outcome. It is one of the most widely debated situations in Game Theory. The story has implications for a variety of human interactive situations. A prisoner’s dilemma is an interactive situation in which it is better for all to cooperate rather than for no one to do so, yet it is best for each not to cooperate, regardless of what the others do.

I wonder the whole dillema and the game will be thrown out of the window if one of the 2 players is large hearted or sacrificial. They don't find such people existing on earth in Economics or Psychology? :o

Thought# 2 - Malthusian Trap or Population Trap

The Malthusian Trap or population trap argues that as population increases, the world wouldn’t be able to sustain crop production to feed the ever-growing population. It also states the sustainability problem that income gains per person through advancing technologies are lost through increased growth in population.

So should we try out reducing food intake by 25% on an average? Apart from an attempt to come out of malthusian trap, think of how much health benefit we are going to have as a civilization!? :D